نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی - کاربردی
نویسندگان
گروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشکده مهندسی صنایع و سیستم ها، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران.
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
In managing a project, reliable prediction is an essential element for success. Project managers are always looking for controlling their projects to make sure the the project is within acceptable limits. For a long time, the earned value management (EVM) for pursuing time performance and the cost of the project has been used. However, using this method to valuate project time performance by utilizing the time performance index (SPI) by researchers and practitioners has been faced with serious criticism. Therefore, the present study proposes a framework for assessment and prediction of the temporal performance of each of the thread activities in project management. In this framework, using the multi objective league championship algorithm (MOLCA), the initial plan of the projects is optimized and then via using the Kalman Filter prediction method, project execution planning is done such that the projects in conditions of uncertainty could be forecasted and ahead horizon being demonstrated accurately with the least error for project managers. In this paper, in order to ensure the quality of the solutions, the output of the algorithm is compared with genetic algorithms (NSGII) and particle swarm optimization (MOPSO), where results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed algorithm.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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