Decision based on Soft Computing
Mostafa Mahmoodi Sharif; Mohammad Mehdi Rahimian Asl; Mohammad Hassan Maleki
Abstract
Purpose: The purpose of this paper, Futures Studies of Iran's Oil Industry Supply Chain with Emphasis on Internal Factors. Supply chain plays an important role in the efficiency of providing products and services. This category is becoming more important in the oil industry, which is one of the competitive ...
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Purpose: The purpose of this paper, Futures Studies of Iran's Oil Industry Supply Chain with Emphasis on Internal Factors. Supply chain plays an important role in the efficiency of providing products and services. This category is becoming more important in the oil industry, which is one of the competitive advantages of the country, and its development can create a lot of currency and employment for the country's economy.Methodology: The present research is applied in terms of orientation and exploratory in terms of purpose. Also, the philosophical foundations of research, pragmatism and its methodology are mixed. To conduct the research in the first stage, by reviewing the literature and interviewing oil industry experts, 16 key drivers of the research were extracted. After screening, 8 factors were removed by statistical tests and the rest of the factors were evaluated by Cross Impact Analysis technique.Findings: Based on the degree of effectiveness, the two drivers of government financing policies and oil companies' plans to improve and upgrade oil equipment were selected as important drivers for mapping oil industry supply chain scenarios.Originality/Value: Based on these two drivers, four scenarios of opportunistic supply chain, resource-oriented supply chain, new supply chain and old supply chain were mapped. According to the four criteria for evaluating scenarios in terms of probability of occurrence and application of CODAS technique, the opportunistic supply chain scenario was selected as the most probable scenario.